Weekend Box Office Predictions 4/30

Posted April 30th, 2010 at 1:07 pm

Coming off a very flat weekend at the box office one movie hopes to provide a jolt, though it is unlikely to be enough to carry the Top 10 back over the $100 million mark. The reboot of A Nightmare on Elm Street will easily capture the top spot while Furry Vengeance as the other new entry will be largely ignored.

A Nightmare on Elm Street is being advertised as a darker “re-imagining” of the Freddy Krueger franchise. It didn’t turn out to be the case (see my review) but there are those out there who will buy into it based on the marketing. Platinum Dunes has a record of restarting horror franchises with the most recent last year being Friday the 13th. That one made over $40 million its first weekend and Nightmare has a similar built-in fan base.

There is absolutely no competition right now as not a single horror film remains in theaters. That could leave the crowd that enjoys them to anticipate this more than they would have otherwise. Reviews have been terrible, with just 13% on Rotten Tomatoes. Typically poor reviews wouldn’t hurt this type of movie at least for the first weekend, but the tone of the reviews have revealed that it is really just the typical horror film and not the “re-imagination” that they are trying to sell it as. Look for A Nightmare on Elm Street to make about $32 million.

To much scorn and embarrassment for Brendan Fraser comes Furry Vengeance. Being targeted at the younger crowd the comedy involves animals that mess with a man who has plans to build on their land. The commercials have been atrocious and reviews unbelievably bad as it currently sits with just a single positive review giving it 3% on Rotten Tomatoes. All that being said, family films can still draw even under those circumstances and while How to Train Your Dragon remains the top choice this could be an option for those who have already take their kids to see that. Furry Vengeance could take in about $6 million this weekend.

Opening Predictions
A Nightmare on Elm Street: $32 million
Furry Vengeance: $6 million