AFC Wild Card Spots Up For Grabs Sunday

by pastapadre
Posted January 1st, 2010 at 5:01 pm

The playoff picture in the NFC is clear except for who will have what seed but in the AFC there are seven teams vying for the final two spots. The Jets and Ravens lock those up with wins on Sunday but should one or both lose there are scenarios that could result in the Steelers, Broncos, Texans, Jaguars, and Dolphins finding their way in.

I wanted to see just how this could all play out using simulations in Madden 10. For the games in question I adjusted depth charts and estimated playing time for the teams that will likely end up sitting starters. Continue on for the results and leave your thoughts in the comments!

1pm ET Games

Steelers @ Dolphins
Steelers win 21-13.
Play of the game: Stefan Logan KR TD to recapture lead after falling down 10-7 in 3rd quarter.

Patriots @ Texans
Patriots pull starters with a 28-0 lead in second quarter.
Patriots win 35-25. Texans made run in 4th quarter but couldn’t get it done.
Play of the game: Game opening KR for TD by Matthew Slater.

Jaguars @ Browns
Browns win 30-17.
Play of the game: Josh Cribbs 82 yard PR for TD in 2nd quarter.

Scenarios following early games: Steelers holding out hope that the Ravens or Jets will lose. Jaguars, Texans, and Dolphins eliminated.

415pm ET Games

Ravens @ Raiders
Ravens win 25-11.
Play of the game: Ray Rice 30 yard go ahead TD run in 2nd quarter.

Chiefs @ Broncos
Benched Brandon Marshall and Tony Sheffler.
Chiefs win 28-24. Broncos needed to win but Ravens win eliminated them regardless.
Play of the game: Jamaal Charles 34 yard TD run late in 3rd quarter to give 28-17 lead.

Scenarios following afternoon games: The Ravens have clinched in. The Jets clinch the final spot with a win, should they lose then the Steelers get in.

Sunday Night Football

Bengals @ Jets
Bengals starters play first half. Jets led 13-6 at half.
Jets win 30-13.
Play of the game: Darrelle Revis INT-TD early in 3rd quarter.

AFC Playoffs: Jets get the five seed and play at Cincinnati with the Ravens traveling to New England as the six seed.

Tags:
  • http://www.facebook.com/ericnetzel Eric Netzel

    First! Seems possible enough to me.

  • http://www.facebook.com/ericnetzel Eric Netzel

    First! Seems possible enough to me.

  • juan deleon

    why not??

  • juan deleon

    why not??

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/SpEaR_tACLe RvG_SPEAR

    STEELERS over DOLPHINS-4 factors in this game: QB Roethlisberger, HB Mendenhall, WR Ward & WR Wallace.

    TEXANS over PATS-i dont think QB Brady will play the whole 6O mins! 1st half maximum.

    JAGS over BROWNS-HB MoJo will run over Browns DLmen.

    RAVENS over RAIDERS-after the lost last week, the D will play wit the chips on their shoulder! they cannot lose so they wont lose. HB Rice will play like a beast as well as the D# lead by Ray Lewis.

    BRONCOS over CHIEFS-WR Marshall wont play but Denver's D# will pick up the slack,

    JETS over BENGALS- QB Palmer wont play the whole 6O mins as well as WR Ocho Cinco, besides the fact that the NY JETS is more desperate than other 8-7 teams.

    I made my picks! ;p

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/SpEaR_tACLe RvG_SPEAR

    STEELERS over DOLPHINS-4 factors in this game: QB Roethlisberger, HB Mendenhall, WR Ward & WR Wallace.

    TEXANS over PATS-i dont think QB Brady will play the whole 6O mins! 1st half maximum.

    JAGS over BROWNS-HB MoJo will run over Browns DLmen.

    RAVENS over RAIDERS-after the lost last week, the D will play wit the chips on their shoulder! they cannot lose so they wont lose. HB Rice will play like a beast as well as the D# lead by Ray Lewis.

    BRONCOS over CHIEFS-WR Marshall wont play but Denver's D# will pick up the slack,

    JETS over BENGALS- QB Palmer wont play the whole 6O mins as well as WR Ocho Cinco, besides the fact that the NY JETS is more desperate than other 8-7 teams.

    I made my picks! ;p

  • Bisett

    NFL Week 17 Picks

    IND 21
    BUF 10

    NO 28
    CAR 24

    CLE 14
    JAC 10

    NE 35
    HOU 30

    NYG 10
    MIN 28

    SF 10
    STL 3

    ATL 20
    TB 21

    PIT 20
    MIA 17

    CHI 16
    DET 10

    PHI 30
    DAL 17

    KC 14
    DEN 17

    BAL 14
    OAK 3

    TEN 20
    SEA 7

    WAS 10
    SD 35

    GB 20
    ARI 24

    CIN 10
    NYJ 7

  • Bisett

    NFL Week 17 Picks

    IND 21
    BUF 10

    NO 28
    CAR 24

    CLE 14
    JAC 10

    NE 35
    HOU 30

    NYG 10
    MIN 28

    SF 10
    STL 3

    ATL 20
    TB 21

    PIT 20
    MIA 17

    CHI 16
    DET 10

    PHI 30
    DAL 17

    KC 14
    DEN 17

    BAL 14
    OAK 3

    TEN 20
    SEA 7

    WAS 10
    SD 35

    GB 20
    ARI 24

    CIN 10
    NYJ 7

  • Bisett

    Posted Jan 1 2010 8:50 pm EST

    Happy New Decade!

  • Bisett

    Posted Jan 1 2010 8:50 pm EST

    Happy New Decade!

  • dolphins

    good to see everyone is doubting the dolphins you will see on sunday DOLPHINS GOANNA WIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • dolphins

    good to see everyone is doubting the dolphins you will see on sunday DOLPHINS GOANNA WIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • kareem

    It's not a new decade just so you know. But happy new year regardless.

  • kareem

    It's not a new decade just so you know. But happy new year regardless.

  • Steve-O

    Well since Madden is a piss poor football simulation im assuming these "predictions" wont be close to what will really happen :D

  • Steve-O

    Well since Madden is a piss poor football simulation im assuming these "predictions" wont be close to what will really happen :D

  • Alex

    It is a new decade. 2000 – 2009 was a decade and now 2010 – 2019 is the next decade.

  • Alex

    It is a new decade. 2000 – 2009 was a decade and now 2010 – 2019 is the next decade.

  • Hines Ward

    Happy New Years!

  • Hines Ward

    Happy New Years!

  • Tiger Woods

    dumbass

  • Tiger Woods

    dumbass

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/TXlongHORNS91 Ty

    I respectfully disagree with a few of your predictions…ATL over TB, and Dallas over Philly (but undoubtably it will be really close)

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/TXlongHORNS91 Ty

    I respectfully disagree with a few of your predictions…ATL over TB, and Dallas over Philly (but undoubtably it will be really close)

  • Quilly

    Im So High I Can Bite A Star

  • Quilly

    Im So High I Can Bite A Star

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/bengalsfan2001 bengalsfan2001

    Bengals in primetime baby, let's get that w

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/bengalsfan2001 bengalsfan2001

    Bengals in primetime baby, let's get that w

  • Alan

    The 3 games that are hard to believe is the chiefs over broncos and the Pats over the Texans and Browns over the Jags.

    1st off the Broncos might have benched 2 really good players but have 1 of the best D in the LG.

    2nd off The pats already clinched a playoff spot so its hard to see the starters playing the whole first half but who knows bill is a crazy man ecspacially when it comes to fourth and 2 to go.

    The 3rd thing is the Jags are a very decent team and even though the Browns are on a hot streak they have a very bad QB starting plus as long as MJD is in the game its hard to believe that the Jags lose to the browns.

    You also might want to watch that Raven Raiders game even though the Raiders dont have a very elite team like the Ravens they always put teams on upset alert when they come to the west coast
    just ask the Eagles.

  • Alan

    The 3 games that are hard to believe is the chiefs over broncos and the Pats over the Texans and Browns over the Jags.

    1st off the Broncos might have benched 2 really good players but have 1 of the best D in the LG.

    2nd off The pats already clinched a playoff spot so its hard to see the starters playing the whole first half but who knows bill is a crazy man ecspacially when it comes to fourth and 2 to go.

    The 3rd thing is the Jags are a very decent team and even though the Browns are on a hot streak they have a very bad QB starting plus as long as MJD is in the game its hard to believe that the Jags lose to the browns.

    You also might want to watch that Raven Raiders game even though the Raiders dont have a very elite team like the Ravens they always put teams on upset alert when they come to the west coast
    just ask the Eagles.

  • madden fail

    In true madden fashion all the games have kick/punt/interception return touchdowns.

    Not realistic at all.

    This game fails hard.

  • madden fail

    In true madden fashion all the games have kick/punt/interception return touchdowns.

    Not realistic at all.

    This game fails hard.

  • Bisett

    Thank you for responding with a football related issue. LoLI picked NE over HOU like you because

    I am a NE fan We are biased because of love for the team LOL! ATL over TB can very well happen

    I am just rooting for the Underdog here cause TB needs alot more then ATL.

  • Bisett

    Thank you for responding with a football related issue. LoLI picked NE over HOU like you because

    I am a NE fan We are biased because of love for the team LOL! ATL over TB can very well happen

    I am just rooting for the Underdog here cause TB needs alot more then ATL.

  • Bisett

    Thank you for responding with a football related issue. LoLI picked NE over HOU like you because

    I am a NE fan We are biased because of love for the team LOL! ATL over TB can very well happen

    I am just rooting for the Underdog here cause TB needs alot more then ATL.

  • Bisett

    But thats exciting stuff LOL!

  • Bisett

    But thats exciting stuff LOL!

  • Bisett

    But thats exciting stuff LOL!

  • Matt

    Don't be that guy, Kareem. Nobody's impressed.

  • Matt

    Don't be that guy, Kareem. Nobody's impressed.

  • Matt

    Don't be that guy, Kareem. Nobody's impressed.

  • Matt

    Don't be that guy, Kareem. Nobody's impressed.

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/TXlongHORNS91 Ty

    Hahaha…you welcome! And ATL – TB could very well go either way, TB upset the saints last week, but neither can make it into the playoffs, so i change my prediction to TB 28-24 because of the GOD-awful passing defense of ATL. P.S. Yes, I am a biased fan, but not a naive fan : )

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/TXlongHORNS91 Ty

    Hahaha…you welcome! And ATL – TB could very well go either way, TB upset the saints last week, but neither can make it into the playoffs, so i change my prediction to TB 28-24 because of the GOD-awful passing defense of ATL. P.S. Yes, I am a biased fan, but not a naive fan : )

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/TXlongHORNS91 Ty

    Hahaha…you welcome! And ATL – TB could very well go either way, TB upset the saints last week, but neither can make it into the playoffs, so i change my prediction to TB 28-24 because of the GOD-awful passing defense of ATL. P.S. Yes, I am a biased fan, but not a naive fan : )

  • Pete

    Actually Kareen any period spanning 10 years is a decade. There is no set standard that says a decade has to be 00-09 or even a century to be 000-099. So technically he can call 2000-2009 a decade if he wants to and still be correct. As for calling it a "new" decade "new" is the perception of stepping into another decade so if his decade started at 2000 then he can consider 2010 to be his "new" decade.

  • Pete

    Actually Kareen any period spanning 10 years is a decade. There is no set standard that says a decade has to be 00-09 or even a century to be 000-099. So technically he can call 2000-2009 a decade if he wants to and still be correct. As for calling it a "new" decade "new" is the perception of stepping into another decade so if his decade started at 2000 then he can consider 2010 to be his "new" decade.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1441642492 Joe C. Burry

    How did you decide when the teams benched their players? That never happens when I sim games while I'm watching them.

    Did you take control of the teams to do it?

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1441642492 Joe C. Burry

    How did you decide when the teams benched their players? That never happens when I sim games while I'm watching them.

    Did you take control of the teams to do it?

  • jay kelly

    Belichik said Brady's playing whole gaem i believe

  • jay kelly

    Belichik said Brady's playing whole gaem i believe

  • jay kelly

    Its funny how some of the games in the NFC can be rematches the next week if certain teams win. That would be different and interesting

  • jay kelly

    Its funny how some of the games in the NFC can be rematches the next week if certain teams win. That would be different and interesting

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/pastapadre pastapadre

    Yeah I adjusted depth charts given the situations.

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/pastapadre pastapadre

    Yeah I adjusted depth charts given the situations.

  • Bisett

    Not Including CIN/NYJ

  • Bisett

    W 8
    L 7

  • Bisett

    W 8
    L 7

  • Bisett

    Not Including CIN/NYJ

  • StealthShot

    Almost perfect excpet for NE @ HOU game.

  • StealthShot

    Almost perfect excpet for NE @ HOU game.

  • t. daley

    AH but the reality is: JETS 37 BUNGLES 0
    Carson Palmer had a negative passer rating
    Jets Ran for 257 yds
    Mark Sanchez had 0 Turnovers

    The Bungles are a fraud. In the Infamous words of Coach Dennis Green after the debacle game where his Cardinals blew a lead on the Bears: “THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE”.

    Do you really think the outcome will be that much different NEXT WEEK in Cinci. Do you think suffering an embarassment like that wont affect the minds of the bungle players. Pasta: Your 30-13 prediction is more likely for this weeks game.

  • t. daley

    AH but the reality is: JETS 37 BUNGLES 0
    Carson Palmer had a negative passer rating
    Jets Ran for 257 yds
    Mark Sanchez had 0 Turnovers

    The Bungles are a fraud. In the Infamous words of Coach Dennis Green after the debacle game where his Cardinals blew a lead on the Bears: “THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE”.

    Do you really think the outcome will be that much different NEXT WEEK in Cinci. Do you think suffering an embarassment like that wont affect the minds of the bungle players. Pasta: Your 30-13 prediction is more likely for this weeks game.

  • t daley

    Yeah it is great to see the Dolphins will be watching my JETS play next SATURDAY. Didn't you guys beat us twice this year. Oh!!!!! how that must sting. Well there is always next year biotch.

  • t daley

    Yeah it is great to see the Dolphins will be watching my JETS play next SATURDAY. Didn't you guys beat us twice this year. Oh!!!!! how that must sting. Well there is always next year biotch.

  • JJC

    outside of one game this was pretty accurate

  • JJC

    outside of one game this was pretty accurate

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